The faint full halo CME will reach us tonight - possible auroras will be visible. High probability of M and/or X class flares over the next 48 hours. It looks like there may be a solar flare in the works as the data seems to be spiking here in the last hour or so. Will update, if so. Anna

Coronal mass ejections (CMEs)

July 7: At least a partial halo CME was observed over the northern limbs and the north pole early in the day. The source of this CME is not yet obvious and may have been backsided.

July 4 and 6: No obvious fully or partly Earth directed CMEs were observed in available LASCO images.

July 5: A faint full halo CME was observed beginning at 16:18 UTC in LASCO C3 images when material was first observed over the southeast limb.

http://www.dxlc.com/solar/

Forecast

The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet on July 7 becoming quiet to active on July 8-9 due to a weak stream from CH174 and possibly effects from a CME observed on July 5.

You can see the increase in Sunspot number over the last couple of days and the increase in solar flux as well. http://www.dxlc.com/solar/

http://www.lmsal.com/solarsoft/latest_events/gev_20050707_1607.html

Peace - Anna