SPACE WEATHER ADVISORY BULLETIN #05- 8
2005 September 07 at 01:31 p.m. MDT (2005 September 07 1931 UTC)

**** POWERFUL SOLAR FLARE ERUPTS ****

One of the largest solar flares on record occurred today, September 07. Very active Region 808 produced a powerful X17 flare (R4 on the NOAA Scale) observed on the NOAA GOES satellite at 07/1740 UTC (September 07, 1:40 p.m. EDT). This flare, the 4th largest in the last 15 years, erupted just as the Region 808 sunspot cluster was rotating onto the visible disk of the sun. Intense radio emissions were also associated with this flare. A very bright and fast coronal mass ejection was observed on coronagraph imagery; however, the material was not Earth directed. An S1 - S2 radiation storm is expected following this eruption, but is not expected to begin until late on September 07 or early September 08. This event created a complete blackout of high frequency communications on the daylit side of Earth. Communications used by emergency services along the Gulf Coast may have experienced problems due to this flare. Low frequency navigation systems may also have experienced a period of significant degradation. Over the past two weeks, this active region produced a series of significant solar eruptions as it made its passage around the back side of the Sun. Significant eruptions are expected in the coming days.

Agencies impacted by space weather storms may experience disruptions over the next two weeks. These include spacecraft operations, electric power systems, HF communications, and low-frequency navigations systems. CME confirm: http://mlso.hao.ucar.edu/cgi-bin/mlso_homepage.cgi


Informant: Dani Djinn

August 31st 2005

EARTH CHANGES TV NEWSLETTER

Severe Geomagnetic Storm in Effect; Possible Tropical Storm Escalation

by Mitch Battros – ECTV

Over the last 12 hours, the Earth has been bombarded with charged particles emitted from the Sun. I wish to point out just before Katrina escalated to a category 4 (later 5) hurricane, the Sun had produced three M-Class flares, with following CME’s which were Earth directed. The Kp Index was literally “off the scale”. An immediate alert went out to all power companies, NASA, USAF, and the FAA. Aircraft shifted flight patterns with many dropping their altitudes to below 30,000 feet.

You can hear my gripping interview with Bill Murtagh, Forecaster NASA/NOAA Space Weather Center on our “recent audio page”. The sound is very low for the first 10 minutes, so turn your volume up all the way. I was at a hotel during a conference when this urgent event occurred. The good news…I’m ready to do a “live” show at the drop of a hand almost anywhere…anytime. A mixed blessing I suppose. J

Recent Audio Files: http://www.earthchangestv.com/audioarchives.php

Just two days after the geomagnetic storm hit, hurricane “Katrina” was elevated to a Category 4 hurricane, and 24 hours later, a Category 5. Yes, I am saying there was a direct connection. (see equation)

Equation:

Sunspots => Solar Flares => Magnetic Field Shift => Shifting Ocean and Jet Stream Currents => Extreme Weather and Human Disruption (mitch battros)

See Article: Kp Index Off the Scale ; Warnings Sent Out
http://www.earthchangestv.com/secure/2005/article_9280.php

Earlier today, the most recent surge of solar particles have hit our global protector known as the magnetic field. Without it, we would die from radiation within hours. It works as a buffer, surrounding the Earth like a cocoon.

Sun – Earth Cocoon: http://www.earthchangestv.net/images/sunearth_01G.gif

Today’s Kp Index: http://www.sec.noaa.gov/rt_plots/kp_3d.html

http://sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov/data/realtime/c3/512/

KP Index is in the RED and has been for the past 12 hrs. With the California swarm of quakes, this is not good and bears watching.

http://www.sec.noaa.gov/rt_plots/kp_3d.html http://www.space.com/spacewatch/sun_cam_animated.html


Informant: Dani Djinn

http://disc.server.com/discussion.cgi?id=149495;article=90173;show_parent=1
http://disc.server.com/discussion.cgi?id=149495;article=90177;show_parent=1

August 24th 2005

EARTH CHANGES TV NEWSLETTER

Kp Index “Off the Scale”; Warnings Sent Out

by Mitch Battros – ECTV

Earlier today, severe solar storms hit the Earth’s magnetic field. This was so powerful; warnings were immediately issued to the FAA to warn all high flying aircraft, all major power companies for possible power grid failures, NASA to alert the International Space Station and all commercial satellites, and the USAF for all military satellites and weaponry.

Kp Index: http://www.sec.noaa.gov/rt_plots/kp_3d.html

New (4th) M-Class Flare: http://www.sec.noaa.gov/rt_plots/xray_5mBL.html

Watch for severe and “freak storms” to occur within the next 24 to 48 hours. Watch for rapid temperature shifts, straight-line winds, wind shears, micro-burst, and tornadoes.

Equation:

Sunspots => Solar Flares => Magnetic Field Shift => Shifting Ocean and Jet Stream Currents => Extreme Weather and Human Disruption (mitch battros)

August 2nd 2005

EARTH CHANGES TV NEWSLETTER

Sunspot Region Rotates Into Dangerous Alignment

by Mitch Battros – ECTV

Yet another M-Class flare fired off this morning. More expected and with greater intensity. Sunspot region 786 and 788 have been re-named since they have rotated from the far side of the Sun. Now they are know as regions 792 and 794.

Sunspots: http://www.earthchangestv.net/images/sunspot_region8205.jpg

M-Class Flare: http://www.sec.noaa.gov/rt_plots/xray_5mBL.html

July 29th 2005

EARTH CHANGES TV NEWSLETTER

Two M’s Erupt with Several More to Come

by Mitch Battros – ECTV

Sunspot regions 786 and 787 are coming around the eastern limb of the Sun and have already made their presence known. Late last night was the latest flare reading a M4. I expect several M and perhaps a couple X-Class flares from these two regions. Watch for continued “freak weather” to occur.

Here is an example of what I expect to see over the next several days.

“Freak "mini-tornado" Injures 20 People” (AFP) Link: http://www.earthchangestv.com/artman/publish/article_8920.php

Watch for tornadoes, straight-line winds, micro-burst, and sudden wind shears.

Equation:

Sunspots => Solar Flares => Magnetic Field Shift => Shifting Ocean and Jet Stream Currents => Extreme Weather and Human Disruption (mitch battros)

Defying predictions, the sun continues to ignore its established 11-year solar cycle. It has remained extremely active long past what should have been the beginning of the solar minimum, and now another group of enormous sunspots has appeared on the far side and is rotating in our direction.

Eight coronal mass ejections (CMEs) have exploded away from the sun since July 22nd. This high level of activity is not producing auroras on Earth, however, because none of the CMEs is heading our way. All of the blasts have been on the farside of the sun.

That's about to change, though, according to solar observers, because the active area is rotating in earth's direction.

Last year, the sun may have signalled a period of unrest when the solar magentic pole shift, which takes place every 11 years, failed to complete. The sun's magnetic field is now in a more-or-less horizontal position, because the shift between north and south poles did not complete.

Whether or not this has anything to do with high levels of solar activity is unknown.

Normally, not even the most violent solar explosions have a significant effect on earth, beyound disrupting radio and satellite communications and, in extremely rare cases, affecting power grids that are improperly shielded against solar energy.

However, sufficiently strong coronal mass ejections also bring heat with them, and this can cause ground temperatures to soar over the short term, especially in dry areas. Given the large number of dry forests on earth at this time, should such a CME head toward the planet, further heating and drying can be expected, and, in some cases, there is the possibility of spontaneous combustion, especially of plants rich in volatile oils.

http://www.unknowncountry.com


Speaking of forest fires, as I travelled through the Rockies on my way west I drove through a mountain town called Barriere. About two years ago, a careless volunteer fire-fighter threw his still-lit cigarette butt away and ignited a couple of mountains. The resulting inferno destroyed thousands and thousands of acres of heavily forested mountainside, on both sides of the river and almost took out the town of Barriere. Thanks to the tireless and desperate efforts of the townspeople and firefighters, the town was saved. This was my first look at the area since the fire and it was a sad, depressing sight to see mile and miles of blackend trees, the only remains of what was once deeply wooded and teeming with life.

The fire-fighter came forward and confessed to his deed and was charged thousands of dollars in fines, but his days will be far from easy for a very long time as many are suing because their homes and livelihood (a lumber mill) were lost.

Di

http://vancouver.cbc.ca/regional/servlet/View?filename=bc_fires20030806
http://tinyurl.com/a59fr